What’s Happening: Cyclone Influence & Weather Systems
From the very beginning, the today weather scenario is dominated by the interaction of multiple systems. The Cyclone Motha-which initially developed in the Bay of Bengal-has weakened but its low-pressure remnant is still affecting Nepal.
According to the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology (DHM) of Nepal and the Meteorological Forecasting Division (MFD), this low-pressure system, assisted by a westerly wind current, is injecting moisture into eastern and central Nepal and triggering rainfall and snowfall in high-altitude areas.
“Moderate to heavy rainfall and snowfall are likely in parts of the high hills and mountainous areas of Koshi, Bagmati and Gandaki provinces.” – MFD advisory.
This sets the stage for today’s today weather outlook: elevated risk of precipitation, cloud cover, and rapidly changing conditions.
2. Today Weather Overview: Where, What, When
Where
- Provinces: Koshi Province, Madhesh Province, Bagmati Province, Gandaki Province and Lumbini Province are under the heaviest influence.
- Parts of Karnali Province and Sudurpaschim Province may see lighter rains.
- High-hill and mountainous zones of the above provinces face risk of moderate to heavy snowfall. dhm.gov.np
What to Expect
- Rainfall: Moderate to heavy in Terai and hilly zones, especially Koshi and Madhesh provinces.
- Snowfall: In high-hill and Himalayan regions of Koshi, Bagmati and Gandaki provinces. Some places may see heavy snowfall.
- Cloud cover: Mostly cloudy skies across affected provinces.
When
- Conditions are expected today (Friday, Oct 31 2025) with the system weakening from this evening onward.
- Rain/snow likely intensifies midday to afternoon in targeted zones and may taper off by evening.
Focus on Kathmandu
In Kathmandu (the capital in Bagmati Province), weather models show rain currently, with temperatures around 17 °C (~63 °F).
Currently 63° · Rain
Kathmandu, Nepal
 9 AM | 60° | Cloudy |
| 10 AM | 62° | Rain |
| 11 AM | 64° | Rain |
| 12 PM | 64° | Cloudy |
| 1 PM | 64° | Cloudy |
| 2 PM | 64° | Rain |
| 3 PM | 64° | Rain |
| 4 PM | 67° | Rain |
| Show more |
Cloudy and rainy spells are expected throughout the day, with possible improvement tonight.
3. Tomorrow Weather Outlook – What to Expect Next
Heading into the tomorrow weather phase (i.e., Saturday), the system is forecast to gradually weaken. The DHM/MFD indicate improvement from Friday evening onward.
Key points for tomorrow:
- Rainfall and snowfall risk should decrease, though residual clouds and scattered showers may linger in high elevation zones.
- River levels remain an ongoing concern – although active precipitation drops, elevated flows may persist.
- Travel, trekking, and mountain-access areas may still be impacted by slippery terrain and snow accumulation in higher altitudes.
Keep monitoring latest advisories for any change—tomorrow weather is not completely clear yet, but the worst appears to be passing.
4. Who’s at Risk – Regions and Sectors to Watch
Geographical vulnerabilities:
- Terai flatlands in Koshi and Madhesh provinces: heavy rain may trigger flooding and rapid runoff.
- High-hills & Himalayan zones in Koshi, Bagmati, Gandaki: moderate to heavy snowfall → slippery roads and isolations.
- Smaller rivers/streams originating from Chure and Mahabharat ranges: flash flooding possibility.
Sectoral vulnerabilities:
- Agriculture & livelihoods: heavy rain/snow may damage crops or delay harvests.
- Transportation: roads (especially hill roads) and air travel may face disruption.
- Mountaineering & trekking: snow accumulation and cloud cover may create hazardous conditions.
- Urban drainage & riverbanks: in flood-prone zones, water levels could rise fast.
What to Watch For:
- Sudden surge of water in smaller tributaries.
- Snow accumulation on passes and high-altitude roads.
- Weather changes even after “improvement” starts (afternoon/evening).
- Official updates from the DHM’s “Impact Based Forecasting” portal.
